Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.471978 0.628881 0.809314 1.028964 1.285978 1.574214 1.918886
2025-03-23 0.281727 0.476163 0.733143 1.082622 1.530943 2.073201 2.764910
2025-03-30 0.164649 0.362860 0.665190 1.120376 1.751192 2.560648 3.643656
2025-04-06 0.090788 0.273235 0.597639 1.135942 1.934553 3.010957 4.506794
2025-04-13 0.042224 0.192443 0.512714 1.101334 2.034447 3.350487 5.241967
2025-04-20 0.019629 0.144891 0.465273 1.110078 2.189877 3.768316 6.096071
2025-04-27 0.007983 0.109745 0.426211 1.120957 2.343110 4.185737 6.962562
2025-05-04 0.001825 0.074819 0.368596 1.082279 2.407130 4.470612 7.650126
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.048662 0.315478 1.037126 2.449993 4.719744 8.290031
2025-05-18 NaN 0.035101 0.290238 1.043190 2.578505 5.102032 9.131269
2025-05-25 NaN 0.021855 0.252059 1.009128 2.628044 5.358959 9.792558
2025-06-01 NaN 0.018110 0.252488 1.068081 2.853882 5.904495 10.896732
2025-06-08 NaN 0.011646 0.230049 1.065544 2.965811 6.276986 11.763212
2025-06-15 NaN 0.010374 0.239740 1.152162 3.259059 6.958885 13.118566
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008142 0.238770 1.208544 3.495313 7.553866 14.355010
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005511 0.227988 1.233872 3.669609 8.050162 15.450360
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002616 0.200826 1.201800 3.721458 8.339536 16.230451
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001406 0.188496 1.213447 3.865009 8.788827 17.267937
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000675 0.177473 1.226238 4.010545 9.244168 18.321738
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000129 0.153788 1.185737 4.034133 9.485134 19.039286
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000002 0.130780 1.137987 4.035335 9.683993 19.691185
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.121863 1.144608 4.161879 10.110177 20.715342
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.104855 1.108400 4.183026 10.344324 21.431214